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Data-Driven Tennis
Betting Analytics

Surface-specific Glicko-2 ratings, ML match predictions, and automated edge detection for ATP tennis. Find where the market is wrong.

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Matches Analyzed

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Players Tracked

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Model Accuracy

4 Surfaces

Independent Ratings

How BreakPoint Tennis Works

A complete analytics pipeline from raw match data to actionable betting insights.

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ML Match Predictions

Ensemble model combining Logistic Regression and XGBoost trained on 10 features including form, surface stats, and rating differentials.

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Glicko-2 Surface Ratings

Chess-style ratings calculated per surface. Track player strength on clay, grass, hard indoor, and hard outdoor with confidence intervals.

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Daily Opportunity Scanner

Automated edge detection that compares model probabilities against live bookmaker odds to flag +EV betting opportunities.

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Bet Tracking & Analytics

Log bets with full ML context. Track ROI, equity curves, performance by surface, edge tier breakdowns, and prediction method accuracy.

Full Transparency

See Our Live Results

Every model recommendation is tracked automatically. No cherry-picking, no hindsight — real-time P&L from day one.

View Track Record →

Ready to Get an Edge?

Start with free access to the predictor and leaderboards, or unlock the full suite of analytics tools.

Start Finding Edges Today

Check today's opportunities, explore player ratings, or run a head-to-head prediction.

BreakPoint Tennis — ATP Betting Analytics

Powered by Glicko-2 ratings and ML ensemble predictions.